Japan Machinery Orders Unexpectedly Rise In March

5/15/2011


(RTTNews) - Core machinery orders in Japan posted a surprise rise in March, in spite of the devastating earthquake and tsunami on the 11th, the Cabinet Office said on Monday, climbing a seasonally adjusted 2.9 percent compared to the previous month.
That blew away analyst expectations for a decline of 10.0 percent following the 2.3 percent contraction in February.
As a result of the data, the Cabinet Office maintained its assessment of machinery orders, saying "Machinery orders are picking up, but there are weak spots in the non-manufacturing sector."
On an annual basis, machine orders also surprised to the upside by adding 6.8 percent versus forecasts for an 8.0 percent plunge following the 7.6 percent increase in the previous month.
For the first quarter of 2011, machinery orders were up 3.5 percent compared to the previous three months. For the fiscal year ended in March, machinery orders climbed 7.0 percent on year.
For the second quarter of 2011, core machinery orders are forecast to have jumped 10.0 percent compared to the previous quarter, based on the figures from the 280 manufacturers reflected in the data.
The total number of machinery orders, including those volatile ones for ships and from electric power companies, saw a decline of 15.8 percent on month in March and an increase of 11.5 percent on quarter in Q3. For the fiscal year, total machinery orders jumped an annual 20.0 percent.
Manufacturing orders saw a decline of 0.4 percent on month, while government orders fell 10.3 percent. Orders from overseas plunged 11.4 percent on month, while orders from agencies added 2.6 percent.
Also on Monday, the Bank of Japan said that an index measuring prices for corporate goods in Japan was up 0.9 percent in April compared to the previous month, standing at 105.6. That was well above analyst expectations for an increase of 0.4 percent following the 0.6 percent gain in March.
On an annual basis, corporate goods prices jumped 2.5 percent - again topping expectations for an increase of 2.1 percent after adding 2.0 percent in the previous month.
Export prices rose 2.2 percent on month but fell 3.0 percent on year, while import prices surged 5.5 percent on month and 9.1 percent on year.

Australia Now Motor Vehicle Sales Fall 3.5% In April


(RTTNews) - The sale of new motor vehicles in Australia declined a seasonally adjusted 3.5 percent in April compared to the previous month, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Monday, standing at 84,332. That follows a 3.4 percent rise in March.
By class, sales of passenger vehicles increased by 22 units (0.0 percent), while sports utility vehicles were down 9.6 percent and other vehicles lost 5.5 percent.
By region, the sales of new motor vehicles decreased in seven of the eight states and territories. New South Wales recorded the largest percentage decrease of 5.1 percent, followed by Victoria (3.5 percent) and Queensland (3.4 percent). Over the same period, the Northern Territory recorded the only increase (1.6 percent).
On an annual basis, new auto sales declined 8.4 percent after adding 1.9 percent in the previous month.

US ranks 17 as clean tech producer, China is No. 2

5/08/2011


 
AMSTERDAM: Denmark earns the biggest share of its national revenue from producing windmills and other clean technologies, the United States is rapidly expanding its clean-tech sector, but no country can match China's pace of growth, according to a new report obtained by The Associated Press.

China's production of green technologies has grown by a remarkable 77 per cent a year, according to the report, which was commissioned by the World Wildlife Fund for Nature and which will be unveiled on Monday at an industry conference in Amsterdam.

``The Chinese have made, on the political level, a conscious decision to capture this market and to develop this market aggressively,'' said Donald Pols, an economist with the WWF.

Denmark, a longtime leader in wind energy, derives 3.1 percent of its gross domestic product from renewable energy technology and energy efficiency, or about euro6.5 billion ($9.4 billion), the report said.

China is the largest producer in money terms, earning more than euro44 billion ($64 billion), or 1.4 percent of its gross domestic product.

The U.S. ranks 17 in the production of clean technologies with 0.3 percent of GDP, or euro31.5 billion ($45 billion), but those industries have been expanding at a rate of 28 percent per year since 2008.

``The U.S. is growing substantially, so it seems the policy of (President Barack) Obama is working,'' Pols said. But the U.S. cannot compare with China, he said.

``When you speak to the Chinese, climate change is not an ideological issue. It's just a fact of life. While we debate climate change and the transition to a low carbon economy, the debate is passed in China,'' Pols said. ``For them it's implementation. It's a growth sector, and they want to capture this sector.''

The report was prepared by Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, a global firm based in Germany. It gathered data on 38 countries from energy associations, bank and brokerage reports, investor presentations, the International Energy Agency and a score of other sources. It measured the earnings from producing renewables like biofuels , wind turbines and thermal equipment, and energy efficiency technology such as low-energy lighting and insulation.

``Clean technologies are really growing fast, but China is responsible for the majority of that growth,'' said Ward van den Berg, who compiled and analyzed the data for the consultancy firm.

Until recently, Chinese massive production of solar cells was aimed at the export market, but they are now making solar systems for the home market, as they have been doing for several years in wind energy, Van den Berg said.

Following Denmark and China, other countries in the top five clean-tech producers, in terms of percentage of GDP, are Germany, Brazil and Lithuania, the report said.

RBI may make it mandatory for foreign banks to adopt WOS route


NEW DELHI: The Reserve Bank is likely to make it mandatory for foreign banks in the country to operate as wholly-owned subsidiaries, in line with the international practice, so that the central bank can have better control over their working.

Initially, according to sources, the new banks and the existing ones with a few branches will be asked to convert into wholly-owned subsidiaries (WoS).

The larger banks, they said, could be given some more time to adhere to the guidelines that are likely to be announced by June-end.

At present, the foreign banks operate through their branches. Under the WOS model, the foreign banks will be required to set up a subsidiary under the Companies Act and operate as an Indian entity.

Sources said that in several countries, including the US and Singapore, it is mandatory for banks to operate as WOS.

In order to align Indian laws with the international best practices, the RBI had come out in January with the draft guidelines on the mode of operations for foreign banks in India.

At present, foreign banks like Citi, Standard Chartered and HSBC operate as branches, mainly in bigger cities, and do not have the freedom to expand like the banks incorporated in India.

In its discussion paper, the RBI has said that it expects large banks to convert them from branches to WOS and that the banks who adopt the subsidiary model would be given preferential treatment for opening of branches.

The RBI has further called for making it mandatory for foreign banks with more than 0.25 per cent share in the Indian banking industry to convert themselves from a branch into a WOS.

It points out that the government has clarified that a company with a foreign holding of over 50 per cent is a foreign company.

At present, there are 34 foreign banks operating in India , with five major banks, including StanChart, HSBC, Citibank and Deutsche, accounting for over 70 per cent of the the total asset size.

The discussion paper also said the WOS may be allowed to raise rupee resources through non-equity capital instruments.

U.S. Pending Home Sales Rise More Than Expected In March

4/28/2011


(RTTNews) - Pending home sales in the U.S. increased for the second consecutive month in March, according to a report released by the National Association of Realtors on Thursday, with pending sales rising by much more than economists had anticipated.
NAR said its pending home sales index rose 5.1 percent in March following a downwardly revised 0.7 percent increase in February. Economists had expected the index to increase by about 1.7 percent compared to the 2.1 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.
A pending home sale is one in which a contract was signed but not yet closed. Normally, it takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.
Despite the monthly increase, pending home sales are down by 11.4 percent compared to the same month a year ago, although NAR noted that activity was at elevated levels in March and April of 2010 to meet the contract deadline for the home buyer tax credit.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said, "Since reaching a cyclical bottom last June, pending home sales have posted an overall gain of 24 percent and demonstrate the market is recovering on its own."
"The index means modest near-term gains in existing-home sales are likely, which would be even stronger if tight mortgage lending criteria returned to normal, safe standards," he added.
The monthly increase in pending home sales was partly due notable growth in the South, where pending home sales jumped by 10.3 percent.
Pending home sales in the West and the Midwest also rose by 3.1 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively, while pending sales in the Northeast fell by 3.2 percent.
Yun said, "Based on the current uptrend with very favorable affordability conditions, rising apartment rents and ongoing job creation, existing-home sales should rise around 5 to 10 percent this year with sales growth of lower priced homes likely to outperform high-end homes."
Last week, NAR released a report showing that existing home sales rebounded by more than expected in March after showing a steep drop in February.
The report said existing home sales rose by 3.7 percent to an annual rate of 5.10 million in March after falling by 8.9 percent to a revised 4.92 million in February. Economists had expected existing home sales to rise to 5.00 million from the 4.88 million originally reported for the previous month.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Unexpectedly Rise To 3-Month High


(RTTNews) - First-time claims for unemployment benefits showed an unexpected increase in the week ended April 23rd, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Thursday, with the data likely to lead to renewed concerns about the outlook for the labor market.
The report showed that initial jobless claims rose by 25,000 to 429,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 404,000. The increase surprised economists, who had expected jobless claims to fall to 390,000 from the 403,000 originally reported for the previous week.
With the unexpected increase, weekly jobless claims rose to their highest level since coming in at 443,000 in the week ended January 22nd.
The Labor Department also said that the less volatile four-week moving average rose to 408,500 from the previous week's revised average of 399,250, climbing back above the key 400,000 level.
Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak, said, "The trend over the past few weeks is clearly disappointing as signs were pointing to a more sustainable pick up in the labor market."
"It is likely though that with the growing concern with rising commodity prices as companies do their best to maintain margins combined with uncertainty for those that rely on Japan, a short term reluctance to expand is occurring," he added.
Meanwhile, continuing claims, a reading on the number of people receiving ongoing unemployment help, fell to 3.641 million in the week ended April 16th from the preceding week's revised level of 3.709 million. Extended benefits also fell by a net 76,000 in the week ended April 9th.
Next Friday, the Labor Department is scheduled to release its closely watched report on employment in the month of April. Employment increased by 216,000 jobs in March, pushing the unemployment rate down to 8.8 percent.

French Business Confidence Steadies, Industrial Demand Falls

4/22/2011


(RTTNews) - Confidence among French manufacturers remained unchanged in April, while business leaders said industrial demand has slipped during past three months.
French statistical office INSEE said the headline business confidence index for the manufacturing industry came in at 110 in April, unchanged from March. Economists had expected the reading to hold steady at previous month's original score of 109.
Confidence among retailers, construction firms and service providers improved in April. Manufacturers expect activity to slow slightly in the next three months. The production outlook index remained unchanged at 20 in April. March's score was revised down to 20 from 21 reported earlier.
Separately, a quarterly business survey by the statistical office showed that total industrial demand declined in the first three months of the year. However, the outlook remained unchanged. The index for current demand fell to 21 from 29, while that for expected demand remained unchanged at 7.
Overseas demand increased sharply, with the corresponding index rising to 36 from 26 in the fourth quarter. The outlook weakened and the index sharply fell to 16 from 23.
According to business leaders, industrial manpower continued to increase in first quarter. The corresponding balance was at its highest level for three years. The survey respondents expect a further increase in manpower in the second quarter.
Yesterday, a key survey showed that German business confidence weakened in April. Survey results from Munich-based Ifo Institute for Economic Research on Thursday showed German business sentiment falling for the second consecutive month in April, with firms turning more downbeat about the future operating conditions.
Meanwhile, a significant declined was observed in Belgian business morale after nine consecutive months of improvement, according to data from the National Bank of Belgium.
These are some of the first survey results to emerge after the European Central Bank lifted its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.25 percent earlier this month, after keeping it frozen at record low since July 2008.
Latest survey of Bank of France for March showed that business sentiment remained stable for the second successive. The bank had slashed the growth outlook for this quarter, while Finance Minister Christine Lagarde said last week that the ministry is cutting the forecast for next year.

Malaysia International Reserves Rise


(RTTNews) - Malaysia's international reserves rose during the period from end-March to April 15, central bank data showed Friday.
Gross international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia were $122.205 billion on April 15, up from $113.838 billion on March 31. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 9.8 months of retained imports and is 4.7 times the short-term external debt, the central bank said.
Foreign currency reserves grew to $110.8 billion from $102.3 billion. The IMF reserve position was unchanged at $0.7 billion and SDRs held steady at $2 billion. Gold reserves were also unchanged at $1.7 billion. Other reserve assets totaled $7 billion, down from $7.1 billion.

China sees first quarterly trade deficit in seven years

4/11/2011


 China has posted its first quarterly trade deficit in seven years, as it continues efforts to rebalance its economy.
The deficit for the first three months of the year stood at $1.02bn (£622m), according to the latest data by the General Administration of Customs.
For the month of March, the country reported a tiny trade surplus of $140m.
China has been trying to boost domestic demand after criticism of its export-led growth policy over the past years.
However, demand from its key markets like the US and Europe has slowed down, as those economies recover from the effects of the global financial crisis.
China has said that it is working towards increasing domestic demand and becoming less reliant on exports to sustain its growth.
While the current numbers may suggest a step in that direction, analysts say they are not a definitive indicator of a turn-around in China's trade.
"China's exports are likely to remain strong in coming months with recovering demands in the United States and Europe, and China will report a trade surplus in coming months," said Wang Hu, of Guotai Jun'an Securities in Shanghai.

Japanese trade
There are concerns that the devastation caused by the earthquake and tsunami in Japan may hit Chinese industry.
"As the world's third largest economy and the biggest source of Chinese imports, Japan is set to affect part of China's foreign trade," said Zheng Yuesheng, statistics chief of the customs administration.
Analysts also warn that until the full extent of the damage caused to Japan's economy and businesses becomes clear, it will be difficult to predict how long the impact on other countries will last.
"People are still trying to assess the impact of Japan, so it's not easy to say whether this pace can be maintained," said Isaac Meng of BNP Paribas.
"It is likely to slow down much more in the second quarter," he added.
However, as Japan's economy and businesses look to rebuild and get back on track, analysts say that demand for Chinese goods will surge.
"From a longer-term view, the reconstruction in Japan will mean huge demand for Chinese products," Mr Wang said.
Exchange rate
Chinese coins and notes  
China's policy on yuan pricing has been a topic of debate among major economies
China has been citicised over its policy on the pricing of its currency.
Beijing has been accused of keeping the yuan artificially low in order to support its export sector.
A weaker currency makes China's goods cheaper, giving its exporters an edge over their international competitors.
China has said that a sudden appreciation of its currency would be harmful to its eceonomy.
However, there has been a slight appreciation of the yuan in the last 12 months, during which it has gained more than 4% against the US dollar.
On Monday, the People's Bank of China set the price of the yuan at a historic high of 6.5401 against the US dollar.
Analysts say that as the currency appreciates, it is making imports into China cheaper and helping the government in its fight against inflation.
They add that a combination of all these factors is helping China move towards its goal of rebalancing its economic growth policy.
"Even though the exchange rate is only slowly appreciating, strong inflation, especially labour costs, is making the rebalancing happen," Mr Meng said.

German Construction Sector Expands At Record Pace In March

4/06/2011


(RTTNews) - German construction sector expanded at a record pace in March, led by a strong rise in commercial activity. The purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the sector climbed to 61.8 from 60.7 in February, Markit Economics said Wednesday. The indicator climbed at the fastest pace since the survey began in September 1999.
A reading above 50 suggests expansion of the sector. The index has now posted above the 50.0 no-change mark for three months in a row.
The acceleration in overall output growth was driven by a survey record expansion of commercial activity. Volumes of new work received increased for the third month running in March, representing the longest period of continuous expansion since the second quarter of 2006.
The robust new orders growth led to a further sharp rise in staffing levels. The rate of employment growth was the second-fastest since January 2007. Input price inflation in the construction sector accelerated for the fourth month running, due to higher costs for raw materials and energy.

Czech Trade Surplus Falls In February


 (RTTNews) - The Czech Republic's trade surplus decreased in February, official data showed Wednesday.
The trade surplus dropped to CZK 13.75 billion from an upwardly revised CZK 17.45 billion in January, the Czech Statistical Office reported. January's excess was originally reported as CZK 15.69 billion. The trade surplus was CZK 14.68 billion in the same month last year.
Exports increased at a slower annual pace in February. Shipments grew 18.4 percent year-on-year compared to 28.5 percent in the previous month. The increase was the smallest since October. Imports increased 20.5 percent after rising 29.9 percent in January.
The imports growth rate surpassed the exports growth rate for the twelfth successive month, the agency said. The results were influenced by a low comparative base of February 2010, it added.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, exports dropped 2.1 percent from the previous month, following increases in the previous two months. Imports fell 2.3 percent.
Between January-February, the trade surplus was CZK 31.2 billion, up CZK 1.2 billion over the comparable period last year. Exports grew 23.3 percent, while imports increased 25.1 percent.

Community spirit shines through in Japan's dark times

3/26/2011


The village of Odachi, just outside Ofunato in Iwate prefecture, is like so many others along Japan's coast.
Homes splintered, lives destroyed.
When the tsunami thundered in, it swept right up the little valley the community nestles in, between the cedar-fringed hills.
Buildings were flung about, and came to rest at the high-water mark.
Shuichi Shida was luckier than most. His family survived and he even remembered the dog when he ran to safety.
His house stood while those around it were destroyed.
But the wave smashed right through, even upstairs. His home will probably have to be knocked down.
"It's been nearly two weeks since the tsunami," he says. "I still have no idea what to do."
Japan's government has marshalled its military in a massive aid operation, but the people are also trying to help themselves.
'Close relationships'
Every mealtime in Odachi, the survivors head up to the three houses belonging to the extended Kino family, at the top of the hill.
Much of the village is living there now.
They have set up a communal kitchen in the garden, using blue tarpaulins to screen off an area.
The cooking is done on open fires, which have big pots of water boiling on them all day.
The men, filthy from scavenging for belongings in the ruins, sit for a smoke and a chat, while the women prepare miso soup with vegetables, hard-boiled eggs and seaweed for dinner.
The children play football.
Adversity has brought people together.
Inside the Kinos' homes, futons have been laid out on the floor, so everyone has somewhere to sleep.
The only lighting is from candles because there is no electricity. A wind-up radio is on to hear the latest news.
There is no privacy, but no-one is complaining.
Wreckage cleared "My family and I don't have any problem with this," says Makiko Kino, mother to three small boys. "It's the opposite in fact and I am rather enjoying this. There are so many children around it's a lot of fun.
"It's the countryside here. We have a close relationship with our neighbours. We have known each other for so long it is not an issue."
Map showing Ofunato
The village has been given tents by a British charity, Shelterbox.
The idea is that everyone will have more space.
The villagers cleared the wreckage from a field to pitch them side by side.
"If I'd been alone it would have been very difficult to stand," says Shuichi Shida. "But all of the neighbours have combined our resources.
"We've worked together, to make a bath, put up tents, chop wood for fuel. We co-operate and we even manage to laugh."
There is no hurry to move out of the Kinos' houses where everyone has been sleeping.
Japan has never lost its sense of community and in dark times it is shining through.
This nation's great disaster has brought out the best in its people.

David Cameron wants Japan EU trade deal


The European Union (EU) should offer Japan a free trade deal to help it recover from the earthquake and tsunami two weeks ago, UK Prime Minister David Cameron has said.
"One of our priorities must be to invite Japan to enter into a free trade area with the EU," Mr Cameron said.
This would give Japan a trade boost and aid its economic recovery, he said following an EU summit in Brussels.
The Japanese government has estimated the rebuilding cost to be £192bn.
Mr Cameron said he had "secured a specific reference" to his proposal in the conclusions of EU documents.
The documents will be published later.
Manageable costs Earlier, the International Monetary Fund said it believed Japan's economy was strong enough to afford the cost of rebuilding the damage from the earthquake and tsunami.
It said it expected a short-term drop in the economy, but no long-term impact.
"Despite the extensive damage we are of the view that the economic costs are manageable," said Ken Kang, the IMF's Asia Pacific chief.
However, it said that power shutdowns would complicate Japan's prospects.

Moody's Lowers Egypt's Credit Rating

3/16/2011


(RTTNews) - Moody's Investors Service on Wednesday downgraded Egypt's foreign and local currency government bond ratings by one notch to Ba3 from Ba2, citing continued volatility in the country's domestic politics.
This is the second rating downgrade this year following a cut to Ba2 from Ba1 on January 31.
The rating agency said the prospect for Egypt's economic recovery is uncertain and the political uncertainty is having an adverse impact on the country's fiscal position and broader economic performance.
The negative outlook on the rating is maintained given the uncertainty of the political outlook and the resulting downside risks to the country's credit fundamentals.
The rating agency warned that it would consider downgrading Egypt's bond ratings further in the event of a substantial fall in foreign exchange reserves, signs that the government were facing difficulty in funding its wide fiscal deficit, or a political deterioration that threatened the transition to an effective government.

Norwegian Central Bank Retains Key Interest Rate

 
(RTTNews) - Norway's central bank on Wednesday decided to retain the key policy rate at 2 percent for a seventh straight rate-setting session. But it signaled a rate hike is likely in the coming months.
In a statement, the central bank said the upturn in the Norwegian economy has gained a firm footing.
"The Executive Board's current assessment is that the key policy rate should be increased before the end of the first half-year of 2011," the Norges Bank said.
The central bank said inflation will remain low in the coming quarters and gradually pick up towards the target of 2.5 percent. In February, consumer price inflation slowed to 1.2 percent from 2 percent in January.
The executive board sees prospects for fairly strong growth in the Norwegian economy in the years ahead, driven by solid income growth, rising investment and high population growth.
"Should economic activity or inflation rise more than expected, the increase in the key policy rate may be more pronounced than currently envisaged," Norges Bank Deputy Governor Jan Qvigstad said.
"In the event of a marked slowdown in world economic growth, heightened financial turbulence abroad or a further appreciation of the krone, the increase in the key policy rate could be deferred further ahead."
Qvigstad said the central bank's latest assessment implies that the interest rate should gradually be raised towards a more normal level.

U.S. Business Sales Surge Higher In January, Inventories Rise 0.9%

3/11/2011


(RTTNews) - Business inventories in the U.S. increased by slightly more than economists had predicted in January, according to figures released by the Commerce Department on Friday, while sales continued to surge higher.
Manufacturers' and trade inventories, seasonally adjusted, were estimated at $1.4531 trillion, up 0.9 percent from December. Economists had forecast an increase of 0.8 percent.
Additionally, the initial estimate of growth in inventories in December was upwardly revised to 1.1 percent from 0.8 percent.
Total business sales also continued to accelerate, jumping 2.0 percent in January to a level of $1.178 trillion, the highest total sales level since August 2008. Sales increased by 1.6 percent in December.
The increase in sales was driven by a strong showing among merchant wholesalers, who saw a 3.4 percent increase in sales.
Manufacturers also saw a 1.8 percent increase in sales, though that reflected a slowdown from the 2.7 percent increase recorded in December.
Retailers' sales continued to increase steadily in January, rising 0.8 percent compared to the 0.7 percent increase in December.
Manufacturers' inventories showed the largest increase, rising 1.3 percent, while wholesale inventories rose by 1.1 percent.
Retail inventories rose 0.4 percent, although automobiles and parts played only a small part in the increase, rising just 0.1 percent.
The total inventories/sales ratio in January was 1.23, down from the 1.25 ratio recorded in December.
Both sales and inventories were markedly higher from last year, with sales up 10.8 percent from January 2010 and inventories up 9.1 percent.

Iceland Jobless Rate Continues To Rise In February


RTTNews) - Unemployment rate in Iceland increased for a fifth consecutive month in February, data from the Directorate of Labor showed Friday.
The jobless rate increased to 8.6 percent in February from 8.5 percent in January. This was the highest rate in ten months, data showed.
During the month, there were 13,772 unemployed persons in the country, 314 more than in January. Unemployment edged up 0.1 percent month-on-month.
The number of job vacancies increased to 198 in February from 185 during the previous month. The Directorate expects unemployment to increase marginally over the month and forecasts the jobless rate to be between 8.5 percent and 8.8 percent in March.

Cong presses for CBI probe into Orissa Dal Scam


NEW DELHI: The Congress today stepped up pressure for a CBI probe into the multi-crore dal scam in Orissa, which has already led to the ouster of a Minister from the BJD government.

Party leader and Rajya Sabha MP from the State Rama Chandra Khuntia met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and submitted a memorandum demanding a CBI probe into the scam.

He also gave a memorandum to AICC President Sonia Gandhi .

In a statement, he alleged that with high officials and the minister involved in the scam, "the state vigilance may not have enough courage to give a report which may go against the Orissa Government ".

The BJD government had come under attack from opposition Congress and BJP in the wake of the scam detected by the vigilance wing of the state in the purchase of pulses for anganwadi, mid-day meal and food nutrition programme.

Women and Child Development Minister Pramila Mallick resigned last month after the scam came to light.

Oil slides below $100 mark on Japan disaster


NEW YORK: Oil prices continued to slide Friday, dropping below $100 per barrel for the first time in more than a week, after a massive earthquake spawned a tsunami that slammed into northern Japan.

Japan is the third-largest oil importer in the world. It's unclear how much its economy will be affected by the disaster. The news helped slow down what had been a sharp, three-week rally in oil markets.

Benchmark West Texas Intermediate for April delivery tumbled $2.06 to $100.64 per barrel in morning trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices dropped as low as $99.01 per barrel earlier in electronic trading.

Oil prices have surged 24 percent since the middle of February, crossing the $100 mark as uprisings in Libya forced much of the country's oil production to shut down. The wave of pro-reform protests across North Africa and the Middle East rattled energy markets, and many oil traders fretted about unrest spreading to Saudi Arabia. Rallies planned in that country for Friday appeared to draw small crowds, and none in the capital, as Saudi rulers deployed hundreds of police and blocked roads. Officials also beefed up security around the country's oil fields.

"This is a market that's ripe for a correction," analyst and trader Stephen Schork said. "Everyone was waiting for this 'Day of Rage'" in Saudi Arabia, "but at this point, there aren't any headlines" to suggest that the country's oil fields are in danger.
Meanwhile gasoline prices in the U.S. continue to rise. The national average for regular climbed above $3.54 per gallon on Friday. That's 42.7 cents higher than a month ago and 76.6 cents more than the same time last year, according to AAA, Wright Express and Oil Price Information Service.

In other Nymex trading for April contracts, heating oil was unchanged at $3.0416 per gallon and gasoline futures dropped 3 cents at $2.9936 per gallon. Natural gas rose 7 cents to $3.902 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, Brent crude gave up $1.64 $113.79 per barrel.

High oil prices will certainly be a risk for India: Taimur Baig, Deutsche Bank

3/04/2011


In an interview with ET Now, Taimur Baig, Chief Economist-India, Deutsche Bank, talks about the budget, fiscal deficit target and rising oil prices, and shares his outlook for the long-term bond yields for India.

What is your reading of the budget 2011-2012? Is the fiscal deficit target of 4.6% achievable or is that a given?

We do not think so. There are several reasons. We do not disagree with the government’s forecast as far as revenue side is concerned. The sort of buoyancy that is expected on corporate tax income or excise or customs seem broadly reasonable to us and we do expect those targets to be achieved without much of an effort from the government’s side.

On the spending side, we have quite a bit of misgiving. Take, for example, the subsidy budget. In a year when we will see world oil prices may be 25-30% higher than last year, the expectation from the government side is that the subsidy bill would actually decline by 25-30%. This in our view is simply not believable because we do not think the government could actually pass through so much in domestic retail price adjustments that the subsidy budget would be achieved. So in our view there is a huge risk of the fuel subsidy in particular - fuel, food, fertiliser, all of those together - that there is a significant chance of those being exceeded than what the expectations are.

Also, on the non-planned spending side in relation to subsidies, the government has planned very conservative numbers as far as economic services and social services spending are concerned. We do not think those are achievable given how much those spending categories were elevated last year. So taking those two issues into account, we think that there is as much as 0.5% of GDP upside risk to the spending side which means that unlike government’s about 4.5% of GDP forecast, we are looking at about 5% of GDP. 



How do you believe FIIs are viewing the budget?

The expectations going to the budget were actually fairly low. Given that the government is looking at a series of state elections this year and there have been a series of governance related challenges to the government, it was not the perfect time for very bold reforms and we did not get any bold reforms. So as far as foreign institutional investors are concerned, there are not any triggers in this budget that would propel them to increase or change their view significantly more positively toward India. But at the end of the day, given that expectations were not very high, the chance of disappointment is also on the low side.

What is your outlook for the long-term bond yields for India? Is there a chance that the government may actually overshoot its net borrowing target?

If one believes our forecast that the deficit would actually be 0.5% points higher as a share of GDP, then the chance of net borrowing being higher than budget is going to be higher. But the government does have a fairly comfortable cash buffer. So they could run down that to finance higher deficit. That could be one way to control the amount of additional borrowing they might need.

Indonesia's Central Bank Leaves Key Rate Unchanged


(RTTNews) - Indonesia's central bank on Friday retained its key interest rate after raising it by a quarter point in February. Today, Bank Indonesia left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.75%.
The board said inflation can be maintained at a target of 4%-6% this year. Inflation in Southeast Asia's largest economy had slowed to 6.8% in February from 7%.
But the central bank said the risk of future inflation pressure remains high.

Union Budget 2011: No filing of tax returns if salary is only income

2/28/2011

 
NEW DELHI: In a big relief from cumbersome tax filing process for the salaried class, finance minister Pranab Mukherjee on Monday proposed to exempt them from filing tax returns unless they have other sources of income.

The government will be issuing a notification exempting 'classes of persons' from the requirement of furnishing income tax returns, said the Memorandum to the Finance Bill 2011.

The decision, which will come into effect from June 1, 2011, will reduce the compliance burden on small taxpayers, it added.

Salaried taxpayers who do not have other sources of income and whose incomes are subject to Tax Deduction at Source ( TDS )) will be excluded from filing returns.

"Therefore, in cases where there is no other source of income, filing of a return is duplication of existing information," the Memorandum said.

Every person whose income exceeds the taxable limit is required to file return of income.

BHP reports record $10.5bn profit

2/16/2011


The world's biggest mining firm BHP Billiton has made record half-year profits thanks to strong demand and high prices.
Net profit jumped 72% to $10.52bn (£6.5bn) in the six months to the end of December, BHP said.
It also unveiled plans to spend $80bn on new projects worldwide, and buy back $10bn of shares from investors.
BHP said it saw demand growth slowing in 2011, but added that economic conditions should help earnings.
"While we expect a slowdown in the growth rate of global commodity demand in calendar year 2011, the economic environment still underpins a robust near-term outlook for our products," the company's chief executive Marius Kloppers said.
'Biggest surprise'
The company said it plans to spend the $80bn over the next five years as it looks to develop new projects.
Mining and commodity companies are having mixed results when it comes to identifying and accessing new deposits.
Analysts said that the supply constraints are one of the reasons commodity prices have climbed so high.
BHP said that it would use the money to develop projects in Australia, Chile and Canada.
"The biggest surprise is the commitment to spend $80bn over the next five years," said Mes Bruce, a portfolio manager at Perpetual Investments.
"We think that this demonstrates the challenges that the industry is having satisfying rising demand, while replacing declining production from mature operations."
No friends?
BHP was recently forced to call off a merger with Canada's giant Potash Corp, and it was the company's latest significant takeover attempt to run into trouble in the past three years.
With virtually no debt, and with no obvious target for a tie-up the company has a large cash pile and decided to accelerate a share buy-back scheme.
Such a move reduces the number of shares in issue, meaning there are fewer pieces of the company, which then attract a bigger share of any profits.
A similar move has been announced by BHP's rival, Rio Tinto.
BHP shares fell by 1% on the earnings news, with analysts saying it was in line with market expectations.

Inflation will rise sharply says Mervyn King


Inflation will rise sharply in the first half of this year before falling back next year, the Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, has said.
But he said there were "large risks" that inflation could overshoot or undershoot the Bank's 2% target.
He reiterated his belief that external factors, such as rising food and energy prices, are the main cause of rising prices in the UK.
Mr King said growth would be weaker than the Bank forecast in November.
In the Bank's inflation report, the governor said that once cost pressures from high commodity prices subside, "CPI inflation will then fall back. But the extent to which it will do so is uncertain, and there are large risks in both directions."
On Thursday, official figures showed that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 4% in January from 3% in December. Measured by the Retail Price Index (RPI), which includes mortgage interest payments, it rose to 5.1% from 4.8%.
Mr King was forced to write a letter to the Chancellor, George Osborne, to explain why CPI inflation was twice the Bank's target rate.
'Difference of view'
The governor said if businesses and households expected that high inflation was here to stay, prices and wages might rise even more quickly.
On the other hand, as the effects of the rise in VAT to 20% implemented in January and imported cost pressures began to diminish, there was a risk that weak growth "will push inflation well below target," he said.
Mr King said there were "real differences of view" in the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which sets interest rates, about "the likely path of inflation in the medium term".
Two members, Andrew Sentance and Martin Weale, have already voted to raise interest rates, currently at a record low of 0.5%, to combat rising prices.
The split reflects the wider debate among economists, with some arguing that rates should be increased to prevent inflation rising further, and others maintaining that a rate rise would jeopardise the fragile economic recovery.
In light of Tuesday's figures showing inflation rising faster, and Mr King's letter to the chancellor, more observers believed the Bank could raise rates sometime over the summer.
Mr King wrote: "The MPC's-central judgement, under the assumption that Bank Rate increases in line with market expectations, remains that inflation will fall back so that it is about as likely to be above the target as below it two to three years ahead."
However, a number of observers read Mr King's comments on Wednesday as meaning a rate rise was not imminent.
"It looks as though markets may have over-interpreted [Mr] King's line on inflation in yesterday's letter to the chancellor," said Philip Shaw at Investec.
Raghav Subbarao at Barclays Capital said: "We think the market interpreted the letter yesterday as being more hawkish... Clearly the inflation report is dovish and downplays the possibility of a rate rise."
Mr King said the recovery was "unlikely to be smooth", while the Bank's economic growth projection for most of this year was now "weaker" than it forecast towards the end of last year.
The UK economy shrank by 0.5% in the final three months of last year, but had it not been for the heavy snow in December, Mr King said growth would have been 2% for 2010 as a whole.

Lithuania Central Bank Ups 2011 GDP, Inflation Outlook

2/10/2011


(RTTNews) - Lithuania's economy may grow stronger than previously estimated this year amid faster recovery in its trading partners, the central bank said Thursday.
In its quarterly economic outlook report, the central bank revised up this year's gross domestic product forecast to 3.3% from 3.1% estimated in November. Economic activity is expected to pick up next year with the GDP rising 4.1%.
Rising external demand, boosted mainly by favorable economic conditions in its neighboring Baltic states as well as Europe's major economies, had a positive impact on the indicators of the tradable sector of Lithuania, especially in industry and transport, the report said.
However, private consumption remains subdued and its recovery is hindered by harsh labor market situations and reserved future expectations that encourage saving.
Unemployment peaked in the second quarter last year, whereas in the third quarter it declined, partially owing to seasonal factors. The bank expects the level of unemployment to decline gradually over the forecast period, in line with the rise of economic activity.
Jobless rate is projected to fall to 16.2% in 2011 from 17.8% last year. This is expected to drop further to 13.9% next year.
The bank also raised the inflation outlook and now sees the rate rising to 2.8% this year from 1.2% last year. In November, the bank had forecast 2.3% rate of inflation for 2011.

UK interest rates held at 0.5% by Bank of England


The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has kept UK interest rates on hold at 0.5%, and unveiled no new quantitative easing (QE) measures.
Both decisions were expected, but the level of division will not be clear until the minutes of the meeting are released.
At the MPC's January meeting, there was a three-way split among its nine members.
At that meeting, two members voted for a rate rise, and one for more QE.
 
Recovery risk
Policymakers have been under pressure to consider raising rates from historic lows in a bid to rein back inflation.
However, data showing a surprise 0.5% contraction in UK GDP during the last three months of 2010 appeared to make an imminent rate rise less likely amid fears it would stifle recovery.
The latest official inflation data showed that Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rose to 3.7% in December, well above the target rate of 2%, led by price rises in food and fuel.

Last month, Bank England governor Mervyn King forecast that inflation could rise to 4-5% in the coming months because of higher food and fuel prices and a rise in VAT. However, he also added that inflation would fall back sharply in 2012.
So the Bank faces a difficult choice - either keep interest rates low to try to aid the economic recovery, or raise them to try to cool inflation.
Raising rates takes demand out of the economy and slows down inflation. But it also increases the cost of borrowing and there are concerns this may tip the economy back into recession.
The Bank's key interest rate has been at 0.5% since March 2009.

'Turbulence' Business group, the CBI said that while the decision was no surprise, it expected the bank to be considering rate rises from April onwards.
Meanwhile the manufacturing group, EEF, welcomed the decision saying that while inflation was a concern, the recovery had "hit some turbulence in recent months".
"The MPC is right to hold off on rate rises for now as an increase will do little to alter the path of inflation in the short term, which is being driven higher by commodity prices and tax," said the group's chief economist, Lee Hopley.
"The contraction across the economy in the final months of 2010 may well have been a blip, but as the bigger risk now appears to be growth, the MPC should continue to hold steady until the picture becomes clearer and the economy is firmly back on an upward track," she added.
However Saga - which provides products and services for over 50s - said that rates should have been raised, to the relief of savers.
"It's disappointing that the Bank of England has once again ignored the warning signs," Saga's director general Ros Altmann said.
She added that the MPC had "missed yet another opportunity to signal that it really is serious about controlling inflation" - saying there were signs the economy was improving despite the poor GDP figures.
A rise in rates would also have been welcomed by many savers who have seen low returns in the past couple of years - giving "at least some crumb of comfort that their suffering may be nearer an end", Ms Altmann added.
However, high interest rates would also restrict the spending power of homeowners with tracker mortgages and people repaying other debts.
Figures earlier this week from financial information service Moneyfacts suggested that mortgage rates for new borrowers and remortagers had already been rising.
It said average fixed-rate mortgages had been at their most expensive for six months at the start of February.
Lenders were finding that the cost of raising money themselves had risen in recent months and this increased cost was being passed on to customers, Moneyfacts said.






French Business Managers Expect Rise In Investment In 2011

2/09/2011


(RTTNews) - French business managers expect their investment to increase by 14% this year compared to 2010, when they said investment decreased 2%, latest survey results from Insee showed Wednesday.
The statistical office said investment would rebound in sector like manufacture of wood, paper products and printing, pharmaceutical industry, manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products.
Moreover, manufacture of food products and beverages and transport equipments would also see higher investment.

Czech Inflation Unexpectedly Eases


(RTTNews) - The Czech Republic's consumer price measure of inflation eased sharply to 1.7% in January from 2.3% in the previous month, the Czech Statistical Office said on Wednesday.
Economists had forecast the year-over-year inflation rate to stay unchanged at 2.3%.
The reason was a slowdown in the price rises of alcoholic beverages, fuel, pharmaceutical drugs and vegetables compared to December.
On a month-over-month basis, consumer prices rose 0.7% in January - the lowest monthly inflation rate recorded for a January since 2005. Analysts were expecting a 1.2% increase.
Meanwhile, the Czech Republic's harmonized consumer prices, calculated according to EU standards, rose 1.9% year-on-year in January, compared to a 2.3% increase in the previous month.

Forex market jitters over Egypt

2/07/2011


The flare up in Egypt between forces supporting the President and those wishing to see him deposed has added to a rising atmosphere of uncertainty in the region which has pulled some investors away from their recent risk-taking. Whilst the Euro has been making modest gains recently over the last few days the turmoil in the Middle East has put an element of risk appetite in the region onto unstable ground.
The Euro, which comprises 17 nations in common currency, has seen recent gains against the dollar, many investors preferring to move into the higher risk, but higher yielding assets of European and Pacific area countries. With the current situation in the Middle East a tug of war exist between the pessimists on one side and market optimist on the other, traders should expect wide swings in the value of the Euro as global events play out and affect risk appetite.

Kerosene sold at Alto Kangaroo stores possibly volatile

2/06/2011


Agriculture Commissioner Gary W. Black is warning consumers who purchased kerosene on or after Jan. 18 from several Kangaroo locations throughout north Georgia not to use the products in their kerosene heaters or lamps.

On Jan. 25, inspectors from the Georgia Department of Agriculture’s Fuel & Measures Division discovered contaminated kerosene at Kangaroo #3315 located at 615 East Spring St., Monroe, during a routine inspection.

The pump was locked at the Monroe location and, as an immediate precaution, pumps were locked at all other stores who received fuel from the same carrier. After sampling from those other pumps was completed on Jan. 27, seven additional Kangaroo locations, including one in Alto, have been found with contaminated kerosene. Kerosene sold at these stores is possibly volatile and should not be used:

•2640 Dawsonville Hwy., Gainesville .
•3951 State Hwy. 365, Alto.
•North Main St., Cleveland.
•78 South Main St., Cleveland.
•634 Christmas Ave., Bethlehem.
•1334 Atlanta Hwy. NW, Auburn.
•18 Hwy. 72 East, Comer.

Contaminated kerosene has the potential to cause an explosion or fire if used in home heaters or lamps. Anyone who purchased kerosene at any of these locations on or after Jan. 18 should not use the kerosene and should return it for reimbursement.

The pumps will remain locked at all eight locations until the tank and lines have been cleaned and new shipments have been tested and approved by the Georgia Department of Agriculture.

Mexico Consumer Confidence Rises Further In January


(RTTNews) - Confidence among Mexican consumers improved for a second straight month in January, results of a joint survey conducted by the national statistical agency INEGI and Bank of Mexico showed Friday.
The consumer confidence index climbed to 92.3 in January from 91.2 in December. Economists had forecast the index to score 91.5.
The score was 12.4% higher than the level recorded a year ago, when the index scored 82.1. Households assessment of the current personal financial situation compared to 12 months ago improved sharply during the month.
However, their one-year ahead expectations about the personal as well as the general economic conditions weakened considerably.

Goolsbee Calls Drop In Unemployment Rate A "Welcome Development"


(RTTNews) - While the Labor Department's monthly employment report showed much weaker than expected job growth in the month of January, Austan Goolsbee, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, sought to depict the data in a positive light in a statement on Friday.
Goolsbee highlighted the unexpected drop in the unemployment rate, which fell to 9.0 percent in January from 9.4 percent in December, although the drop largely reflected a decrease in the size of the labor force.
The report also showed an increase of 50,000 jobs private sector jobs, Goolsbee noted, with the increase marking the eleventh consecutive month of private sector job growth.
He added, "Revisions to private sector payroll data show that 1.1 million jobs were added during 2010, the strongest private sector job growth since 2006."
Goolsbee also called the 0.8 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate over the past two months a "welcome development," although he said that the rate remains unacceptably high.
"The overall trend of economic data in recent months has been encouraging, as initiatives put in place by this Administration are taking hold, but there is still considerable work to do," Goolsbee said.
The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment rose by 36,000 jobs in January following an upwardly revised increase of 121,000 jobs in December, while economists had expected an increase of about 150,000 jobs.
While notable job growth was seen in the manufacturing and retail industries, the increases in employment were offset by the loss of jobs in the construction and transportation and warehousing industries.
The Labor Department said employment in the construction industry may have been impacted by the severe winter weather during the month.
Market News provided by RTTNews
 

Panel Urges World Bank to Change Antigraft Plan

2/03/2011


WASHINGTON, Sept. 12 — The anticorruption drive led by Paul D. Wolfowitz as president of the World Bank, which shook the institution and contributed to his downfall, remains hampered by weak management, internal distrust and employee resistance to combating fraud, a panel of outside experts concluded Wednesday.
 The panel, led by Paul A. Volcker, a former Federal Reserve chairman, recommended that the bank’s new president, Robert B. Zoellick, work with the bank board to overhaul its antigraft operations and instill more confidence among bank employees and affected countries.
“This is not an easy problem,” Mr. Volcker said in an interview on Wednesday. “By far the most important thing is getting the entire bank on board with the importance of an anticorruption effort. This goes against decades of grain in the other direction. There’s been outright conflict in the bank as to whether to have an anticorruption function.”
The long-awaited report said it was impossible to quantify the losses from bid-rigging, bribes, poor quality of goods and services and other problems of graft in the operations of more than $20 billion a year in lending to poor countries.
“There is, however, a general sense that the losses are substantial,” it said. Current and former officials at the bank say that some form of fraud affects as much as 40 percent of the bank’s programs. Corruption was a signature issue of Mr. Wolfowitz, a former deputy defense secretary under President Bush who was forced to resign from the bank in May after the disclosure that in 2005 he had arranged for a pay and promotion package for Shaha Ali Riza, his female companion and a bank employee at the time.
His actions related to fighting corruption, like suspending aid to countries without consulting the bank’s board, ruptured his ties with the staff and directors. One effect was that the board and Mr. Wolfowitz agreed to bring in Mr. Volcker last year to examine the anticorruption efforts.
Mr. Zoellick welcomed the report for its “excellent and I hope most useful” recommendations, and he indicated that he would probably put most of them into effect. Aides close to the new president say that whether anticorruption efforts succeed will depend as much on his personal efforts to heal rifts at the bank as on managerial changes.
In an interview, Mr. Zoellick said many of the Volcker proposals were in line with plans he and his staff had already generated. “The most important recommendation is that anticorruption efforts are a vital function of the bank and need to be incorporated into everything we do,” he said.
By all accounts, Mr. Volcker, who had investigated the United Nations oil-for-food scandal in which Iraq siphoned off money from its oil sales, had to navigate many contentious charges and countercharges. Many of them focused on the activities of the institutional integrity unit led by Suzanne Rich Folsom, a Wolfowitz appointee and onetime Republican Party activist.
Many bank employees charged that under Ms. Folsom, the anticorruption campaign was waged selectively and unfairly against employees and countries and that it was intended to carry out the agenda of a conservative Republican distrustful of the bank’s mission.
Supporters of Ms. Folsom said, on the other hand, that they had been constantly stymied by bank employees who saw corruption as minor and as an acceptable cost of doing business in poorly governed countries.
The Volcker report, while exonerating the anticorruption team of unfairness or political motivations, said a “siege mentality” in the institutional integrity unit led to “excessive secrecy” about its activities and a refusal to share its findings with colleagues and people in the affected countries.
In general, the report said the bank had done a poor job in following up findings of corruption with remedial action in many countries, and it recommended that Mr. Zoellick select a top manager to oversee efforts to work with countries and regional bank officials to root out graft once it is uncovered. It also called for an outside panel of advisers to evaluate antigraft activities.
In a significant rebuke to Mr. Wolfowitz, the panel also recommended that the head of the integrity unit not serve as a counselor in the president’s office, as was done under Mr. Wolfowitz. Critics had charged that Mr. Wolfowitz and his top aides received information on corruption from Ms. Folsom that was not shared with colleagues, leading to financing decisions that rewarded or punished countries for political reasons, and to retaliatory actions against personnel without due process.
In the interview, Mr. Volcker said he and his investigators had found no evidence that the bank acted in favor of or against any country based on political motivations. “These questions of bias and so forth, we’ve found no substantiation of them,” he said. But he added that the follow-up on corruption charges was “cumbersome” and “slipshod.”
The panel also recommended that the anticorruption drive be carried out by a more diverse staff, a reference to the criticism that, under Mr. Wolfowitz, nearly 40 percent of the staff and most of the unit’s leaders were American.
A major question left by the report, especially among the bank’s 10,000 employees, was the future of Ms. Folsom’s leadership. Top aides to Mr. Wolfowitz have left the bank, and many bank employees have openly hoped that Ms. Folsom will follow.
But the report praised the operation of the integrity unit, and implicitly the performance of its director. Going further, Mr. Volcker said in the interview that she had done an outstanding job and that he had found no evidence to back up the charge that she had exhibited favoritism.
Mr. Zoellick also said he had no intention of removing Ms. Folsom, and Ms. Folsom, a lawyer with experience in corporate ethics matters, issued a statement praising the Volcker report and said she would not resign. “I am dedicated to the work of this department and the mission of the institution,” she said.
However, two people close to Ms. Folsom said that after the battles over Mr. Wolfowitz, and after being vindicated by the Volcker report, they would not be surprised if she left this year.
The panel also recommended that the integrity unit discontinue investigations into sexual harassment — Mr. Volcker said it was a “chronic problem” at the bank — and other forms of personal misconduct, which it said had been a distraction and a focus of bitterness among bank employees. These charges should be investigated by a unit in the human resources division, the report said.

New York Mets Book Value: -$225 million


Ever since he bought controlling interest of the New York Mets in 2002, Fred Wilpon has used leverage to juice his MLB franchise.  He borrowed heavily to buy out Nelson Doubleday, even promising his former partner tens of millions of dollars if the Mets ever moved into a new ballpark (they did, with Citi Field opening in 2009). His team is also on the hook for $40 million a year in debt service tied to the bonds used to finance Citi Field (the bonds now carry a junk rating).
Now all this debt could very well come crashing down on Wilpon as a result of his involvement with Bernie Madoff. As I wrote earlier, the Mets and their lease to Citi Field are worth about $845 million. But there is $375 million of debt attached to the Mets franchise and $695 million tied to the ballpark, leaving these assets with an aggregate negative book value of $225 million.
Thus if he needs to get a lot of cash from his sports assets Wilpon will have to unload his 60% stake in SportsNet NewYork, the regional sports network in which Comcast and Time Warner are also investors. The team’s 60% stake in SNY could fetch about $1.3 billion (the price would be substantially higher if it were not for $239 million in dividends the owners of SNY paid themselves with borrowed funds)  and has proportionally $270 million of debt, giving the team’s stake a book value of $1,230 million. After netting out the negative book value of $225 million from the franchise and Citi Field, selling SNY could leave Wilpon with $1 billion.
Which will hopefully be enough money to satisfy any money he is on the hook for as a result of his involvement with Madoff.

Factory activity accelerates


WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Activity at the nation’s manufacturers in January accelerated to the fastest pace seen since May 2004, according to a closely followed survey of top executives released Tuesday.
The Institute for Supply Management index rose to 60.8% in January from 58.5% in December.
It marked the 18th straight month of expansion in factory activity, as the manufacturing sector continues to outperform other sectors of the U.S. economy.

The report was stronger than expected. The ISM index had been expected to remain steady at 58.5%, according to economists surveyed by MarketWatch. See comprehensive MarketWatch indicator calendar.
“Overall, this is very very strong,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.
The report gave a further boost to U.S. stocks, which had already opened higher to extend Monday’s gains on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average /quotes/comstock/10w!i:dji/delayed (DJIA 12,005, -36.55, -0.30%)   was up about 114 points in trading, with the S&P 500 index /quotes/comstock/21z!i1:in\x (SPX 1,298, -6.08, -0.47%)  and the Nasdaq Composite Index /quotes/comstock/10y!i:comp (COMP 2,738, -11.42, -0.42%)  both outdoing the Dow on a percentage basis. See more on trading in U.S. stocks to kick off the month of February.
In bonds, Treasury prices /quotes/comstock/31*!ust10y (UST10Y 3.53, +0.05, +1.44%)   fell further, pushing yields up on the stronger-than-expected report. See more on Treasurys extending losses.
Readings above 50% in the ISM diffusion index indicate that more firms are growing than contracting. The ISM tracks the breadth of growth across firms, asking purchasing managers if business is better or worse in the most recent month than in the prior one.
The nation’s economy, as measured by gross domestic product, accelerated to a 3.2% growth pace in the fourth quarter.
Norbert Ore, head of the ISM’s survey committee, said the January report showed that manufacturing is carrying a lot of momentum into the first quarter.

ISM manufacturing details

Fourteen of 18 industries as tracked by Tempe, Ariz.-based ISM were growing in January, led by petroleum, primary metals and apparel. Read the full survey.
January’s new-orders index also jumped, reaching 67.8% from 62% in December, the ISM’s data showed. This is the highest since January 2004.
Production rose slightly, hitting 63.5% from 63.0% in the prior month.
There was good news on the jobs front as well, as the employment index improved to 61.7% from 58.9% in December. This is the highest level since April 1973.
On Friday, the government will report on nonfarm payrolls and the nation’s unemployment rate for January.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch are looking for payrolls to rise 140,000 after having added 103,000 jobs in December. The jobless rate is projected to tick up to 9.5% from 9.4% in the prior month.
Another bright spot was the export sector, which rose to 62% in January from 54.5% in the prior month.
The price index jumped to 81.5 in January from 72.5 in the prior month. Ore said he thought that some firms are able to pass these higher prices to customers.
Richard Bergmann, managing director of Accenture’s manufacturing practice, said some companies are seeking higher prices for critical commodities like metals and plastic.
But Bergmann said there was “not a lot of wiggle room” due to long term contracts with material suppliers for higher prices to be accepted.
In a separate report, the Commerce Department said U.S. construction spending fell 2.5% in December

Invest in a Forex simulator

1/31/2011


Flight simulators are commonplace and something that every commercial pilot is very familiar with, indeed it is all part of their training as well a requirement for them to maintain their commercial pilot licence. But, how many people are aware that there are Forex simulators as well?
Forex simulators operate very much like many PC games and allow you to practice trading without the risk of losing money, common sense surely. They are also capable of analysing what you may have done wrong and iron out these problems. Importantly they allow you to practice and we all know that practice makes perfect. Many traders have no problem understanding the workings of a single currency but find it difficult to get used to working with a currency pair. A simulator however teaches and reinforces the relationship on one currency to another and the impact that one currency can have on another. Check out where you can find a simulator and improve your Forex trading abilities.